Philip Morris International Inc report Above 3 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026
Above 3 billion is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above.
Price history
93¢ current
+45¢Contract brief
If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3000000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 3 billion
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Above 2.8 billion 96¢
Range
31¢-96¢
Family volume
$400
Identifier
KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-3000000000.0
Aug 5, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$464
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above
Closes
Feb 17, 2027
Family volume
$400
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 3000000000.0 zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 17, 2027
Identifier
KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-3000000000.0
Event family
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$400
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 2.8 billion 96¢
Current share
0%
Above 2.8 billion
kalshi · KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-2800000000.0
Above 3 billion
kalshi · KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-3000000000.0
Above 2.9 billion
kalshi · KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-2900000000.0
Above 3.1 billion
kalshi · KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-3100000000.0
Above 3.2 billion
kalshi · KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-3200000000.0
Above 3.3 billion
kalshi · KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-3300000000.0
Above 3.4 billion
kalshi · KXPM-26OCTZYNPCH-3400000000.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.