Philip Morris International Inc report Above 680 million zyn u.s. shipment volume in 2026
Above 680 million is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above.
Price history
93¢ current
+44¢Contract brief
If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 680000000 zyn u.s. shipment volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 680 million
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
Above 680 million 93¢
Range
14¢-93¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXPMA-28JANZYN-680000000
Jun 27, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$845
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Philip Morris International Inc reports Above 680000000 zyn u.s. shipment volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Identifier
KXPMA-28JANZYN-680000000
Event family
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above 680 million 93¢
Current share
—
Above 680 million
kalshi · KXPMA-28JANZYN-680000000
Above 700 million
kalshi · KXPMA-28JANZYN-700000000
Above 720 million
kalshi · KXPMA-28JANZYN-720000000
Above 740 million
kalshi · KXPMA-28JANZYN-740000000
Above 760 million
kalshi · KXPMA-28JANZYN-760000000
Above 780 million
kalshi · KXPMA-28JANZYN-780000000
Above 800 million
kalshi · KXPMA-28JANZYN-800000000
Above 820 million
kalshi · KXPMA-28JANZYN-820000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 93% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.