SimpleFunctions

Phoenix · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL13PHXMIL

Phoenix is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL13PHXMIL.

Price history

25¢ current

+11¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 9, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs Milwaukee Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Phoenix

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Phoenix 48¢

Range

35¢-48¢

Family volume

$166

Identifier

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL13PHXMIL-PHX

Jul 12, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

48¢

Ask

62¢

Spread

14¢

24h volume

$86

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL13PHXMIL

Closes

Jul 28, 2026

Family volume

$166

Orderbook snapshot

48 / 62¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
48¢50
47¢325
18¢1.4K
17¢555
16¢86
AskSize
62¢5
63¢46
64¢194
66¢98
67¢53

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs Milwaukee Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 28, 2026

Identifier

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL13PHXMIL-PHX

SF Signal
SF Index
2593.92
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL13PHXMIL.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$166

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Phoenix 48¢

Current share

52%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2593.9%

IY (No)

2210.2%

Adj IY

2594%

CRI

1

RV

8940%

VR

2.92

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2593.9%
2210.2%
Adj IY
2594%
1
RV
8940%
VR
2.92
IAR
1.1/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.