Pittsburgh win at least 75 games this season
75+ wins is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will Pittsburgh win at least.
Price history
86¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Pittsburgh has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
75+ wins
Rank
#5 of 7
Leader
55+ wins 93¢
Range
24¢-93¢
Family volume
$190
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T75
Jun 26, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
78¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
15¢
24h volume
$38
Family rank
#5 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Pittsburgh win at least
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Family volume
$190
Orderbook snapshot
78 / 93¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pittsburgh has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T75
Event family
Will Pittsburgh win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$190
Outcomes
7
Highest price
55+ wins 93¢
Current share
20%
55+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T55
60+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T60
65+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T65
70+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T70
75+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T75
80+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T80
85+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-PIT-26-T85
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.