SimpleFunctions

Pittsburgh · KXNFLGAME-26AUG13GBPIT

Pittsburgh is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 31¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26AUG13GBPIT.

Price history

36¢ current

+12¢
20¢30¢40¢
Jun 29, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Pittsburgh wins the Green Bay vs Pittsburgh professional football game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Pittsburgh

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Pittsburgh 36¢

Range

29¢-36¢

Family volume

$19

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26AUG13GBPIT-PIT

Jul 11, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

36¢

Ask

67¢

Spread

31¢

24h volume

$19

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26AUG13GBPIT

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Family volume

$19

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 67¢

Kalshi
31¢ spread
BidSize
36¢23
35¢144
34¢100
33¢9
26¢393
AskSize
67¢3
71¢122
74¢580
75¢997
76¢555

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Pittsburgh wins the Green Bay vs Pittsburgh professional football game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26AUG13GBPIT-PIT

SF Signal
SF Index
1841.13
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26AUG13GBPIT.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$19

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Pittsburgh 36¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1841.1%

IY (No)

582.5%

Adj IY

1841%

CRI

2

RV

340%

VR

0.82

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1841.1%
582.5%
Adj IY
1841%
2
RV
340%
VR
0.82
IAR
1.7/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.