SimpleFunctions

Popstar by Tinashe have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 25, 2026 - October 01, 2026 tracking week

7000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 25, 2026 - October 01, 2026 tracking week: Above 7K is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 67¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside Will Popstar by Tinashe have above.

Price history

67¢ current

+65¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 20, 2026Aug 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Popstar by Tinashe has above 7K Album Equivalent Units during the September 25, 2026 - October 01, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

7000 Album Equivalent Units during the September 25, 2026 - October 01, 2026 tracking week: Above 7K

Rank

#3 of 8

Leader

Above 2K 97¢

Range

1¢-97¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-POP26OCT01-7K

Aug 27, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 2h ago

Implied probability

67¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 2h ago

Bid

67¢

Ask

76¢

Spread

Reported volume

$462

Family rank

#3 of 8

8 outcomes · Will Popstar by Tinashe have above

Closes

Oct 4, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

67 / 76¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢52
67¢200
4¢1.9K
3¢42
AskSize
76¢200
97¢489
98¢36
99¢52

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Popstar by Tinashe has above 7K Album Equivalent Units during the September 25, 2026 - October 01, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 4, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-POP26OCT01-7K

SF Signal
SF Index
1937.72
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

470.1%

IY (No)

1937.7%

Adj IY

1938%

CRI

2

RV

4647%

VR

7.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

470.1%
1937.7%
Adj IY
1938%
2
RV
4647%
VR
7.79
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
2.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.