Before Oct 30, 2026 · Will President Donald J. Trump or the White House name an AI czar before
Before Oct 30, 2026 is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will President Donald J. Trump or the White House name an AI czar before.
Price history
59¢ current
Contract brief
If President Trump publicly names an AI czar after Issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Oct 30, 2026
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
Before Oct 30, 2026 54¢
Range
3¢-54¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXTRUMPAICZARWHEN-26-26OCT30
Sep 23, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
54¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · Will President Donald J. Trump or the White House name an AI czar before
Closes
Oct 30, 2026
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
54 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If President Trump publicly names an AI czar after Issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 30, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPAICZARWHEN-26-26OCT30
Event family
Will President Donald J. Trump or the White House name an AI czar before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Before Oct 30, 2026 54¢
Current share
38%
Before Oct 30, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPAICZARWHEN-26-26OCT30
Before Oct 23, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPAICZARWHEN-26-26OCT23
Before Oct 16, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPAICZARWHEN-26-26OCT16
Before Oct 9, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPAICZARWHEN-26-26OCT09
Before Oct 2, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPAICZARWHEN-26-26OCT02
Before Sep 25, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPAICZARWHEN-26-26SEP25
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.