Privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 above 2,000 units
Above 2,000 units is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above.
Price history
72¢ current
Contract brief
If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 2,000 units
Rank
#5 of 11
Leader
Above 1,600 units 89¢
Range
7¢-89¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2000
Aug 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
54¢
Ask
61¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#5 of 11
11 outcomes · Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above
Closes
May 3, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
54 / 61¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 3, 2027
Identifier
KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2000
Event family
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 1,600 units 89¢
Current share
0%
Above 1,600 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T1600
Above 1,700 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T1700
Above 1,800 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T1800
Above 1,900 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T1900
Above 2,000 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2000
Above 2,100 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2100
Above 2,200 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2200
Above 2,300 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2300
Above 2,400 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2400
Above 2,500 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2500
Above 2,600 units
kalshi · KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03-T2600
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.