Priya and Ethan · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3
Priya and Ethan is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3.
Price history
3¢ current
−23¢Contract brief
If Priya and Ethan finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Priya and Ethan
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Jasmine and Kavan 92¢
Range
1¢-92¢
Family volume
$21K
Identifier
KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-PRET
Jul 13, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$200
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$21K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Priya and Ethan finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-PRET
Event family
KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$21K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Jasmine and Kavan 92¢
Current share
1%
Jasmine and Kavan
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-JAKA
Julia and Lorenzo
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-JULO
Yasmine and Tommy S
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-YATMS
Mica and Samraj
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-MISA
Ellie and Finley
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-ELFI
Jasmine and Samraj
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-JASA
Ellie and Lorenzo
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-ELLO
Mica and Aidan
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-MIAI
Ellie and Chidi
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-ELCH
Elicia and Finley
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-ELIFI
Angelista and Aidan
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-ANAI
Lola and Sean
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-LOSE
Ellie and Sean
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-ELSE
Priya and Ethan
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-PRET
Priya and Aidan
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-PRAI
Jasmine and Lorenzo
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31RTOP3-JALO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 3% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.