SimpleFunctions

Ukraine · Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next

Ukraine is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 8 inside Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next.

Price history

13¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢
May 11, 2026May 31, 2026

Contract brief

If the next Putin and Zelenskyy meeting happens in Ukraine before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ukraine

Rank

#8 of 8

Leader

Hungary 14¢

Range

3¢-14¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXPUTINZELENSKYYLOCATION-28-UKR

Jun 7, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 7, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$678

Family rank

#8 of 8

8 outcomes · Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next

Closes

Dec 31, 2028

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 10¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
3¢500
AskSize
10¢500
11¢5
96¢5.0K
97¢50
98¢555

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the next Putin and Zelenskyy meeting happens in Ukraine before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2028

Identifier

KXPUTINZELENSKYYLOCATION-28-UKR

SF Signal
SF Index
629.59
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at .

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1259.2%

IY (No)

1.2%

Adj IY

630%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1259.2%
1.2%
Adj IY
630%
32
Overround
-0.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.