RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 above 16.25 million
Above 16.25 million is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 1.
Price history
8¢ current
−11¢Contract brief
If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 16.25 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 16.25 million
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
Above 15.50 million 95¢
Range
5¢-95¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXRDUVISITS-27FEB28-T16.25
Aug 25, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 1
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 16.25 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Identifier
KXRDUVISITS-27FEB28-T16.25
Event family
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Above 15.50 million 95¢
Current share
0%
Above 15.50 million
kalshi · KXRDUVISITS-27FEB28-T15.50
Above 15.75 million
kalshi · KXRDUVISITS-27FEB28-T15.75
Above 16.00 million
kalshi · KXRDUVISITS-27FEB28-T16.00
Above 16.25 million
kalshi · KXRDUVISITS-27FEB28-T16.25
Above 16.50 million
kalshi · KXRDUVISITS-27FEB28-T16.50
Above 16.75 million
kalshi · KXRDUVISITS-27FEB28-T16.75
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.