Will Republican win the House race for FL-25?
This contract is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$16.7M
Best sibling
California Governor Election Winner: Tom Steyer 42¢
Ticker
KXHOUSERACE-FL25-26-R
Price history
34¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
33 / 34¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the House member sworn in for FL-25 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXHOUSERACE-FL25-26-R
Event family
US Elections.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$16.7M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner: Choo Mi-ae 92¢
Current share
0%
Republican party
kalshi · KXHOUSERACE-FL25-26-R
California Governor Election Winner: Tom Steyer
polymarket · 0x8d62f20324e9e7f1a3c663ab6aac9a2f6e7adb96c6a69ac2cea7e08a71a7f2ef
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep
polymarket · 0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: R Senate, D House
polymarket · 0x998bc71817b2d76921d1999ce0f3431cfd5945583667a371280ca2b430b0c06e
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Other
polymarket · 0x7987a821b8032824f1805ee39eb5dfb8f64603e4e9e673259eb76f82b439fd3d
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Republicans Sweep
polymarket · 0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b
California Governor Election Winner: Steve Hilton
polymarket · 0x119b6b3b744ac3239c7a71100165d254234eaecea401abde5a3d303bef21d19e
California Governor Election Winner: Kyle Langford
polymarket · 0x0a46731134b06c151d4f939bec58e07d784ed50ed214141286fd8bc9561608a3
California Governor Election Winner: Chad Bianco
polymarket · 0x1a5b898bbfa1e697c19afeef356d9c1a6ecb95d2493c31524d3c75f16f782c3e
California Governor Election Winner: Katie Porter
polymarket · 0x11375fe1cf6665bbdee0cba5c2d48be1dedafab87841bd2eb8bc778c0402f457
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R House
polymarket · 0x0808de4f0cfd47947f2d1be51f9a9c52ea0fec76f73a75cfbe79ddec98d8a908
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner: Choo Mi-ae
polymarket · 0xd07ad157463306284e16a0f897510948a1ff9904c4cbf0992e1421e62a079d38
54
polymarket · 0x38fa3007c7be18a217849262667e39266341cb2fd7b5f8da75472b0a9e420480
California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra
polymarket · 0xa5d79e71e66c9fe122f8b8b3ca6ab7a0e3048bd8508f130746944e92ed79ddf3
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner: Han Jun-ho
polymarket · 0x00b3aad127920666574f5cf65f242de17f76a9011c89d6fe9141615d458457aa
California Governor Election Winner: Alex Padilla
polymarket · 0x433587daba653f972f1bf49d41712ff02a0e73196c3a498a1e9d8e80c6587861
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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