Mike Bost · KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26
Mike Bost is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26.
Price history
91¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the House member sworn in for IL-12 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mike Bost
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Mike Bost 88¢
Range
9¢-88¢
Family volume
$210
Identifier
KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26-R
May 29, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
88¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$210
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$210
Orderbook snapshot
88 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the House member sworn in for IL-12 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26-R
Event family
KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$210
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Mike Bost 88¢
Current share
100%
Mike Bost
kalshi · KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26-R
Julie Fortier
kalshi · KXHOUSERACE-IL12-26-D
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.