Susan Collins · SENATEME-26
Susan Collins is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside SENATEME-26.
Price history
41¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Susan Collins
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Graham Platner 59¢
Range
40¢-59¢
Family volume
$22K
Identifier
SENATEME-26-R
Jun 14, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
40¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$15K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · SENATEME-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$22K
Orderbook snapshot
40 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
SENATEME-26-R
Event family
SENATEME-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Graham Platner 59¢
Current share
66%
Graham Platner
kalshi · SENATEME-26-D
Susan Collins
kalshi · SENATEME-26-R
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.