Pete Ricketts · SENATENE-26
Pete Ricketts is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside SENATENE-26.
Price history
69¢ current
Contract brief
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Nebraska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Pete Ricketts
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Pete Ricketts 68¢
Range
31¢-68¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
SENATENE-26-R
Sep 21, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
68¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · SENATENE-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
68 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Nebraska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
SENATENE-26-R
Event family
SENATENE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Pete Ricketts 68¢
Current share
21%
Pete Ricketts
kalshi · SENATENE-26-R
Dan Osborn
kalshi · SENATENE-26-DOSB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
low
Event type
political
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Event Probability API
Read 69% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.