Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 above 29.5¢/kWh
Above 29.5¢/kWh is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above.
Price history
63¢ current
+62¢Contract brief
If EIA reports Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for calendar year 2026 is above 29.5¢/kWh, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 29.5¢/kWh
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Above 28.0¢/kWh 94¢
Range
4¢-94¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T29.5
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
63¢
Ask
65¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
63 / 65¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If EIA reports Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for calendar year 2026 is above 29.5¢/kWh, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Identifier
KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T29.5
Event family
Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 28.0¢/kWh 94¢
Current share
63%
Above 28.0¢/kWh
kalshi · KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T28.0
Above 28.5¢/kWh
kalshi · KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T28.5
Above 29.0¢/kWh
kalshi · KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T29.0
Above 29.5¢/kWh
kalshi · KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T29.5
Above 30.0¢/kWh
kalshi · KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T30.0
Above 30.5¢/kWh
kalshi · KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T30.5
Above 31.0¢/kWh
kalshi · KXRIRESPOWER-27FEB28-T31.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
Read 63% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.