Will Rick Jackson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Georgia?

KXGOVGANOMR-26-RJAC · closes Nov 3, 2026 · 202 days remaining

Price

Last
71¢
Bid
68¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
3¢
24h Volume
$8,447.59
Open Interest
$43,912.64

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)84.9%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)383.4%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI2Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround-0.0%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS0.04Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV143%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR1.56Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR0.3/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY367%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

7-Day History

36 indicator snapshots · 5 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.409
Label
neutral
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 7:57:55 AM

About this market

If Rick Jackson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Georgia Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXGOVGANOMR-26-RJAC yes 100

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