Will Robert Raimondo be the Republican nominee for Governor in Rhode Island?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will Robert Raimondo be the Republican nominee for Governor in Rhode Island?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing September 8, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $336 open interest, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $336 open interest, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 1,719% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of thin markets where even small position sizes can generate outsized percentage returns, though the 8¢ spread represents a substantial bid-ask gap. With 510 days until expiration and a neutral regime score, this appears to be a speculative long-tail market lacking sufficient liquidity or information flow to establish a credible consensus price.
Also on polymarket at 6¢(Δ +1¢)
Resolution rules
If Robert Raimondo wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGOVRINOMR-26-RRAI yes 100