Will Rocket Mortgage advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Rocket Mortgage · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Will Rocket Mortgage advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Rocket Mortgage is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXWCADS-26JUL19.
Price history
15¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Rocket Mortgage aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Rocket Mortgage advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Rocket Mortgage
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas 91¢
Range
3¢-91¢
Family volume
$44K
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-ROCK
Jul 12, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Family volume
$44K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rocket Mortgage aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-ROCK
Event family
KXWCADS-26JUL19.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$44K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas 91¢
Current share
3%
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ADID
Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ANTH
Will McDonald's advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: McDonald's
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MCDO
Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-DOOR
Will Nike advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Nike
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-NIKE
Will Home Depot advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Home Depot
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-HOME
Will Gemini advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gemini
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEMI
Will UberEats advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: UberEats
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-UBER
Will Pepsi advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Pepsi
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-PEPS
Will Modelo advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Modelo
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MODE
Will Toyota advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Toyota
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-TOYO
Will Amazon advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Amazon
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-AMAZ
Will Celsius advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Celsius
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-CELS
Will Rocket Mortgage advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Rocket Mortgage
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ROCK
Will Coinbase advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Coinbase
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-COIN
Will Temu advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Temu
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-TEMU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 15% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.