Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXWCADS-26JUL19.
Price history
88¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Adidas aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas 88¢
Range
4¢-88¢
Family volume
$49K
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-ADID
Jul 12, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 54m ago
Implied probability
Bid
88¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$7K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Family volume
$49K
Orderbook snapshot
88 / 89¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Adidas aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-ADID
Event family
KXWCADS-26JUL19.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$49K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas 88¢
Current share
14%
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ADID
Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ANTH
Will Nike advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Nike
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-NIKE
Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-DOOR
Will Gemini advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gemini
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEMI
Will Pepsi advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Pepsi
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-PEPS
Will Home Depot advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Home Depot
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-HOME
Will McDonald's advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: McDonald's
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MCDO
Will UberEats advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: UberEats
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-UBER
Will Modelo advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Modelo
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MODE
Will Amazon advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Amazon
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-AMAZ
Will Celsius advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Celsius
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-CELS
Will Lego advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Lego
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-LEGO
Will SpaceX / Starlink advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: SpaceX / Starlink
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-SPAC
Will Burger King advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Burger King
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-BURG
Will Coinbase advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Coinbase
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-COIN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Read 88% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.