SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Sabrina Carpenter announce a new tour this year?

This contract is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

51¢
$37K volume
$30K liquidity
16047% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$233

Best sibling

Beyoncé 42¢

Ticker

KXTOUR-27-SAB

Market snapshot

Sabrina Carpenter in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Sabrina Carpenter announce a new tour this year?. The displayed quote is 51¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $4. In the KXTOUR-27 family, this outcome ranks #8 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Sabrina Carpenter

Family rank

#8 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

51¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$4

Family context

16 outcomes · KXTOUR-27

Quote range

7¢-94¢

Family leader

Drake 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXTOUR-27-SAB. Family volume: $233.

Price history

51¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 51¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
46¢10
45¢37
44¢200
33¢16
21¢16
AskSize
51¢10
52¢200
58¢98
59¢345
60¢23K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Sabrina Carpenter announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTOUR-27-SAB

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

180.6%

IY (No)

131.0%

Adj IY

161%

CRI

1

RV

210%

VR

1.58

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

180.6%
131.0%
Adj IY
161%
1
RV
210%
VR
1.58
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
8.4%
LAS
0.11

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index