San Francisco · KXNFLGAME-26SEP10SFLAR
San Francisco is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP10SFLAR.
Price history
43¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs Los Angeles R professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
San Francisco
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Los Angeles R 62¢
Range
40¢-62¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP10SFLAR-SF
Jul 12, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
40¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP10SFLAR
Closes
Sep 13, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
40 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs Los Angeles R professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 13, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP10SFLAR-SF
Event family
KXNFLGAME-26SEP10SFLAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Los Angeles R 62¢
Current share
74%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 43% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.