Sea Ltd report above 74 million garena quarterly paying users in Q2 2026
Above 74 million is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 9 inside Will Sea Ltd report.
Price history
19¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If Sea Ltd reports above 74000000 garena quarterly paying users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 74 million
Rank
#9 of 9
Leader
Above 62 million 96¢
Range
16¢-96¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSE-26AUGQPU-P74000000
Jun 23, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#9 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Sea Ltd report
Closes
Sep 10, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sea Ltd reports above 74000000 garena quarterly paying users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 10, 2026
Identifier
KXSE-26AUGQPU-P74000000
Event family
Will Sea Ltd report.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 62 million 96¢
Current share
—
Above 62 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-P62000000
Above 60 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-P60000000
Above 64 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-P64000000
Above 66 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-P66000000
Above 68 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-P68000000
Above 69 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-69000000
Above 70 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-P70000000
Above 72 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-P72000000
Above 74 million
kalshi · KXSE-26AUGQPU-P74000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.