Seattle win at least 90 games this season
90+ wins is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will Seattle win at least.
Price history
14¢ current
−15¢Contract brief
If Seattle has 90+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
90+ wins
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
75+ wins 89¢
Range
1¢-89¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T90
Jun 26, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
23¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Seattle win at least
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
23 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Seattle has 90+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T90
Event family
Will Seattle win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
75+ wins 89¢
Current share
62%
75+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T75
80+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T80
90+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T90
95+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T95
85+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T85
100+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T100
105+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SEA-26-T105
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.