Senegal · KXWC1H-26JUN26SENIRQ
Senegal is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXWC1H-26JUN26SENIRQ.
Price history
58¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If Senegal is the winner of the first half in the Senegal vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Senegal
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Senegal 59¢
Range
8¢-59¢
Family volume
$483
Identifier
KXWC1H-26JUN26SENIRQ-SEN
Jun 23, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
59¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$482
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWC1H-26JUN26SENIRQ
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$483
Orderbook snapshot
59 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Senegal is the winner of the first half in the Senegal vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXWC1H-26JUN26SENIRQ-SEN
Event family
KXWC1H-26JUN26SENIRQ.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$483
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Senegal 59¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.