SimpleFunctions

SET IN STONE by Rick Ross have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week

Above 40K is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will SET IN STONE by Rick Ross have above.

Price history

21¢ current

1¢
20¢25¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If SET IN STONE by Rick Ross has above 40K Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 40K

Rank

#4 of 7

Leader

Above 10K 81¢

Range

3¢-81¢

Family volume

$141

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-SET26JUL23-40K

Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

30¢

Spread

24h volume

$42

Family rank

#4 of 7

7 outcomes · Will SET IN STONE by Rick Ross have above

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Family volume

$141

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 30¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
21¢5
20¢200
AskSize
30¢200
98¢4.6K
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If SET IN STONE by Rick Ross has above 40K Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-SET26JUL23-40K

SF Signal
SF Index
2237.70
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4475.4%

IY (No)

316.2%

Adj IY

2238%

CRI

4

Overround

1.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4475.4%
316.2%
Adj IY
2238%
4
Overround
1.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.