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SOL trimmed mean below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026

Below $55.00 is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Will SOL trimmed mean be below $.

Price history

2¢ current

10¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 1, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $55.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Below $55.00

Rank

#2 of 4

Leader

Below $60.00 2¢

Range

1¢-2¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUN30-5500

Jun 21, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 21, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$782

Family rank

#2 of 4

4 outcomes · Will SOL trimmed mean be below $

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 2¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢189
AskSize
2¢710
3¢278
5¢400
7¢3.2K
39¢15

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $55.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUN30-5500

SF Signal
Regime
taker

Event family

Will SOL trimmed mean be below $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Below $60.00 2¢

Current share

27%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.