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SOL trimmed mean below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026

Below $60.00 is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 39¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will SOL trimmed mean be below $.

Price history

14¢ current

+2¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 1, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $60.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Below $60.00

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Below $60.00 14¢

Range

1¢-14¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUN30-6000

Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

Ask

39¢

Spread

39¢

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · Will SOL trimmed mean be below $

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 39¢

Kalshi
39¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
39¢22
63¢5
70¢45
71¢23
72¢149

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $60.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUN30-6000

SF Signal
SF Index
38340.34
Regime
taker

Event family

Will SOL trimmed mean be below $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Below $60.00 14¢

Current share

30%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

6

VR

1.41

IAR

2.3/h

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

6
VR
1.41
IAR
2.3/h

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.