South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 above 165 bu/acre
Above 165 bu/acre is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 1.
Price history
13¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 165 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 165 bu/acre
Rank
#5 of 8
Leader
Above 145 bu/acre 88¢
Range
4¢-88¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T165
Aug 20, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$515
Family rank
#5 of 8
8 outcomes · Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 1
Closes
Jan 31, 2027
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 165 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 31, 2027
Identifier
KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T165
Event family
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above 145 bu/acre 88¢
Current share
5%
Above 145 bu/acre
kalshi · KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T145
Above 150 bu/acre
kalshi · KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T150
Above 155 bu/acre
kalshi · KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T155
Above 160 bu/acre
kalshi · KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T160
Above 165 bu/acre
kalshi · KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T165
Above 170 bu/acre
kalshi · KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T170
Above 175 bu/acre
kalshi · KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T175
Above 180 bu/acre
kalshi · KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31-T180
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.