Spain score over 2.5 goals
Reg Time: Spain over 2.5 goals is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 8 inside KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP.
Price history
12¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Spain records above 2.5 goals in the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Reg Time: Spain over 2.5 goals
Rank
#6 of 8
Leader
Reg Time: France over 0.5 goals 80¢
Range
3¢-80¢
Family volume
$48K
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP3
Jul 12, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$633
Family rank
#6 of 8
8 outcomes · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Family volume
$48K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Spain records above 2.5 goals in the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP3
Event family
KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$48K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Reg Time: France over 0.5 goals 80¢
Current share
1%
Reg Time: France over 0.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA1
Reg Time: Spain over 0.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP1
Reg Time: France over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA2
Reg Time: Spain over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP2
Reg Time: France over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA3
Reg Time: Spain over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP3
Reg Time: France over 3.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA4
Reg Time: Spain over 3.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.