SimpleFunctions

Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7275 full-time employees globally in Q2 2026

Above 7275 is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7.

Price history

64¢ current

+14¢
50¢75¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 7275 full-time employees globally in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 7275

Rank

#6 of 9

Leader

Above 7150 90¢

Range

15¢-90¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXSPOT-26JULHEAD-7275

Jun 25, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

64¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

49¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$140

Family rank

#6 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7

Closes

Nov 25, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 54¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
49¢200
48¢100
43¢1
35¢5
2¢50
AskSize
54¢212
56¢200
68¢11
97¢44
98¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 7275 full-time employees globally in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 25, 2026

Identifier

KXSPOT-26JULHEAD-7275

SF Signal
SF Index
109.98
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

257.5%

IY (No)

219.4%

Adj IY

110%

CRI

1

Overround

4.3%

LAS

0.15

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

257.5%
219.4%
Adj IY
110%
1
Overround
4.3%
LAS
0.15

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.