SimpleFunctions

Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7325 full-time employees globally in Q2 2026

Above 7325 is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7.

Price history

39¢ current

11¢
25¢50¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 7325 full-time employees globally in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 7325

Rank

#8 of 9

Leader

Above 7150 90¢

Range

15¢-90¢

Family volume

$433

Identifier

KXSPOT-26JULHEAD-7325

Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

22¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

24h volume

$115

Family rank

#8 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 7

Closes

Nov 25, 2026

Family volume

$433

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 29¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
22¢200
13¢5
2¢6
AskSize
29¢208
38¢15
41¢5
43¢100
97¢18

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 7325 full-time employees globally in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 25, 2026

Identifier

KXSPOT-26JULHEAD-7325

SF Signal
SF Index
178.20
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

356.4%

IY (No)

158.4%

Adj IY

178%

CRI

2

Overround

4.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

356.4%
158.4%
Adj IY
178%
2
Overround
4.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.