SimpleFunctions

Starbucks Corporation report Above 3% comparable transactions growth in 2026

Above 3% is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will Starbucks Corporation report Above.

Price history

82¢ current

+6¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 16, 2026Aug 15, 2026

Contract brief

If Starbucks Corporation reports Above 3 comparable transactions growth in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 3%

Rank

#2 of 6

Leader

Above 2% 91¢

Range

2¢-91¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXSBUXA-28JANCOMPTXN-3

Aug 15, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

82¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 15, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

76¢

Ask

86¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$436

Family rank

#2 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Starbucks Corporation report Above

Closes

Mar 31, 2028

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

76 / 86¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
76¢200
45¢47
44¢350
37¢760
35¢585
AskSize
86¢200
94¢6
96¢58
97¢200
98¢582

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Starbucks Corporation reports Above 3 comparable transactions growth in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 31, 2028

Identifier

KXSBUXA-28JANCOMPTXN-3

SF Signal
SF Index
194.80
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Starbucks Corporation report Above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 2% 91¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

19.4%

IY (No)

194.8%

Adj IY

195%

CRI

3

RV

1291%

VR

20.89

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

19.4%
194.8%
Adj IY
195%
3
RV
1291%
VR
20.89
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
1.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.