SimpleFunctions

Starbucks Corporation report Above 6% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026

Above 6% is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside Will Starbucks Corporation report Above.

Price history

2¢ current

1¢
0¢5¢10¢
May 28, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If Starbucks Corporation reports Above 6.0% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 6%

Rank

#5 of 5

Leader

Above 2% 89¢

Range

4¢-89¢

Family volume

$51

Identifier

KXSBUX-26JULTXGRW-6.0

Jun 26, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

Ask

11¢

Spread

Reported volume

$141

Family rank

#5 of 5

5 outcomes · Will Starbucks Corporation report Above

Closes

Aug 27, 2026

Family volume

$51

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 11¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
4¢200
AskSize
11¢200
21¢1
83¢681
84¢12
89¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Starbucks Corporation reports Above 6.0% company comparable transactions growth in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 27, 2026

Identifier

KXSBUX-26JULTXGRW-6.0

SF Signal
SF Index
7022.72
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Starbucks Corporation report Above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$51

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above 2% 89¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14045.4%

IY (No)

24.4%

Adj IY

7023%

CRI

24

Overround

1.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

14045.4%
24.4%
Adj IY
7023%
24
Overround
1.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.