Steve Ballmer · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33
Steve Ballmer is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 12 inside KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33.
Price history
7¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Forbes reports that Steve Ballmer has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Steve Ballmer
Rank
#12 of 12
Leader
Mark Zuckerberg 18¢
Range
3¢-18¢
Family volume
$849
Identifier
KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-SB
Jun 26, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$814
Family rank
#12 of 12
12 outcomes · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33
Closes
Jan 1, 2033
Family volume
$849
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Forbes reports that Steve Ballmer has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2033
Identifier
KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-SB
Event family
KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$849
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Mark Zuckerberg 18¢
Current share
0%
Mark Zuckerberg
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-MZ
Jensen Huang
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-JH
Sergey Brin
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-SRB
Jeff Bezos
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-JB
Michael Dell
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-MD
Bernard Arnault & family
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-BA
Changpeng Zhao
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-CZ
Sam Altman
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-SA
Warren Buffett
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-WB
Larry Page
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-LP
Larry Ellison
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-LE
Steve Ballmer
kalshi · KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-SB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.