SZA · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19
SZA is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 37¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19.
Price history
50¢ current
+36¢Contract brief
If SZA performs as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
SZA
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Tate McRae 84¢
Range
18¢-84¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-SZA
Sep 20, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
37¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19
Closes
Nov 26, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 68¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If SZA performs as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 26, 2027
Identifier
KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-SZA
Event family
KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tate McRae 84¢
Current share
0%
Tate McRae
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-TMCR
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-WEEK
Don Toliver
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-DTOL
Drake
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-DRAK
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-KLAM
SZA
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-SZA
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-AWAR
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-BEIL
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-BEYO
Cardi B
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-CARD
Charli xcx
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-CHAR
Doja Cat
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-DOJA
Coldplay
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-COLD
aespa
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-AESP
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-AGRA
Bruno Mars
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-BMAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.