Tampa Bay wins for Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game
Tampa Bay is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game.
Price history
36¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tampa Bay
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Cincinnati 64¢
Range
35¢-64¢
Family volume
$643
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13TBCIN-TB
Aug 27, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 43m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$556
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$643
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13TBCIN-TB
Event family
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$643
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Cincinnati 64¢
Current share
87%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 36% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.