Taylor Fritz · KXATP-26WIM
Taylor Fritz is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXATP-26WIM.
Price history
5¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Taylor Fritz wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Taylor Fritz
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Jannik Sinner 57¢
Range
1¢-57¢
Family volume
$90K
Identifier
KXATP-26WIM-FRI
Jun 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 52m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXATP-26WIM
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$90K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Taylor Fritz wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXATP-26WIM-FRI
Event family
KXATP-26WIM.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$90K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Jannik Sinner 57¢
Current share
3%
Jannik Sinner
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-SIN
Novak Djokovic
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-DJO
Alexander Zverev
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-ZVE
Ben Shelton
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-SHE
Taylor Fritz
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-FRI
Jack Draper
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-DRA
Daniil Medvedev
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-MED
Jakub Mensik
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-MEN
Rafael Jodar
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-JOD
Frances Tiafoe
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-TIA
Tommy Paul
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-PAU
Francisco Cerundolo
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-CER
Arthur Fils
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-FIL
Joao Fonseca
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-FON
Alexander Bublik
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-BUB
Lorenzo Musetti
kalshi · KXATP-26WIM-MUS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.