Will Lorenzo Musetti win the ATP Rome
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 15% across 7 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
15%
7 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$3K
7 contracts
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
34 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
7 clusters across 7 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Jannik Sinner win the ATP Rome
Will Jannik Sinner win the ATP Rome?: Jannik Sinner
KXATP-26ROME-SIN
Cluster 2
Will Tommy Paul win the ATP Rome
Will Tommy Paul win the ATP Rome?: Tommy Paul
KXATP-26ROME-PAU
Cluster 3
Will Alexander Zverev win the ATP Rome
Will Alexander Zverev win the ATP Rome?: Alexander Zverev
KXATP-26ROME-ZVE
Cluster 4
Will Rafael Jodar win the ATP Rome
Will Rafael Jodar win the ATP Rome?: Rafael Jodar
KXATP-26ROME-JOD
Cluster 5
Will Arthur Fils win the ATP Rome
Will Arthur Fils win the ATP Rome?: Arthur Fils
KXATP-26ROME-FIL
Cluster 6
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the ATP Rome
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the ATP Rome?: Lorenzo Musetti
KXATP-26ROME-MUS
Cluster 7
Will Ben Shelton win the ATP Rome
Will Ben Shelton win the ATP Rome?: Ben Shelton
KXATP-26ROME-SHE
What moved the line
- May 7Jannik Sinner↑14pp56→70¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.