Will Tennessee be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?

Prediction markets currently give a 26% probability that Will Tennessee be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?. This contract trades at 26¢ on Kalshi, closing January 25, 2027. This market shows extremely low liquidity with just $1,705 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 26¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.

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26¢
Bid/Ask 21/24¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $89·OI $1,826.08·Closes Jan 25, 2027·275d remaining
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-TEN
7-day price4 snapshots · 6 regime
27¢21¢ current
Apr 1521¢Apr 25

Analysis

8d ago

This market shows extremely low liquidity with just $1,705 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 26¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 366% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and likely reflects the illiquidity premium rather than genuine underpricing, given Tennessee's historical playoff qualification rates typically exceed this 26% probability estimate. With 284 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this contract has time for price discovery, but traders should demand significant compensation for the liquidity risk before committing capital.

Resolution rules

If Tennessee is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.5%
IY (No) 35.3%
Adj IY 214%
CRI 4
Overround 13.3%
LAS 0.14
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)499.5%
IY (No)35.3%
Adj IY214%
CRI4
Overround13.3%
LAS0.14

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 6:10:47 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 6:08:43 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-TEN yes 100

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