SimpleFunctions

Texas A&M · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W12T25

Texas A&M is priced at 71¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W12T25.

Price history

71¢ current

70¢75¢
Sep 5, 2026Sep 5, 2026

Contract brief

If Texas A&M is ranked top 25 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Texas A&M

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Texas A&M 66¢

Range

2¢-66¢

Family volume

$19

Identifier

KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W12T25-TXAM

Sep 5, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

71¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Sep 5, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

75¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W12T25

Closes

Dec 8, 2026

Family volume

$19

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 75¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
66¢100
51¢90
AskSize
75¢100
90¢90
95¢240
98¢150
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Texas A&M is ranked top 25 on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 8, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W12T25-TXAM

SF Signal
SF Index
324.27
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

199.3%

IY (No)

751.0%

Adj IY

324%

CRI

2

Overround

18.4%

LAS

0.14

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

199.3%
751.0%
Adj IY
324%
2
Overround
18.4%
LAS
0.14

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.