Texas · KXNCAAFSECQ-26
Texas is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 39¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside KXNCAAFSECQ-26.
Price history
38¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Texas qualifies for the 2026 College Football SEC Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Texas
Rank
#2 of 9
Leader
Georgia 42¢
Range
1¢-42¢
Family volume
$121
Identifier
KXNCAAFSECQ-26-TEX
Jul 20, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
39¢
24h volume
$121
Family rank
#2 of 9
9 outcomes · KXNCAAFSECQ-26
Closes
Jan 3, 2027
Family volume
$121
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Texas qualifies for the 2026 College Football SEC Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 3, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFSECQ-26-TEX
Event family
KXNCAAFSECQ-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$121
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Georgia 42¢
Current share
100%
Georgia
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-UGA
Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-TEX
Texas A&M
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-TXAM
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-LSU
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-MISS
Oklahoma
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-OKLA
Florida
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-FLA
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-ALA
South Carolina
kalshi · KXNCAAFSECQ-26-SCAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 38% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.