France wins 1H 1-0 · Will the 1st half score
France wins 1H 1-0 is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 13 inside Will the 1st half score.
Price history
19¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is France 1, Spain 0 in the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
France wins 1H 1-0
Rank
#2 of 13
Leader
Draw 1H 0-0 31¢
Range
1¢-31¢
Family volume
$202K
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA1ESP0
Jul 13, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$17K
Family rank
#2 of 13
13 outcomes · Will the 1st half score
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Family volume
$202K
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is France 1, Spain 0 in the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA1ESP0
Event family
Will the 1st half score.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$202K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Draw 1H 0-0 31¢
Current share
8%
Draw 1H 0-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA0ESP0
France wins 1H 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA1ESP0
Spain wins 1H 1-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA0ESP1
Draw 1H 1-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA1ESP1
France wins 1H 2-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA2ESP0
Spain wins 1H 2-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA1ESP2
Spain wins 1H 2-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA0ESP2
France wins 1H 2-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA2ESP1
Draw 1H 2-2
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA2ESP2
France wins 1H 3-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA3ESP1
Spain wins 1H 3-1
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA1ESP3
Spain wins 1H 3-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA0ESP3
France wins 1H 3-0
kalshi · KXWC1HSCORE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA3ESP0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.