2026 FIFA World Cup Final have above 38000000 Total Viewers (P2+) on Nielsen
Above 38.0M is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 11 inside Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final have above.
Price history
39¢ current
+35¢Contract brief
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final has above 38.0M United States Total Viewers (P2+), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 38.0M
Rank
#7 of 11
Leader
Above 20.0M 97¢
Range
25¢-97¢
Family volume
$826
Identifier
KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-38.0M
Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
38¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#7 of 11
11 outcomes · Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final have above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$826
Orderbook snapshot
38 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final has above 38.0M United States Total Viewers (P2+), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-38.0M
Event family
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final have above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$826
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 20.0M 97¢
Current share
1%
Above 20.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-20.0M
Above 22.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-22.0M
Above 24.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-24.0M
Above 26.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-26.0M
Above 28.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-28.0M
Above 34.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-34.0M
Above 38.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-38.0M
Above 30.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-30.0M
Above 36.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-36.0M
Above 32.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-32.0M
Above 40.0M
kalshi · KXWCVIEWERSHIP-27JAN01-40.0M
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.