Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 17, 2026
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 17, 2026 is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
3¢ current
Contract brief
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 17, 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXUST7A-26JUL17-T4.44
Jul 23, 2026, 11:47 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Identifier
KXUST7A-26JUL17-T4.44
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 17, 2026 3¢
Current share
100%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 17, 2026
kalshi · KXUST7A-26JUL17-T4.44
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.