SimpleFunctions

Atlanta pro football team win at least 5 games this season

5+ wins is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 13 inside Will the Atlanta pro football team win at least.

Price history

93¢ current

+27¢
50¢75¢100¢
Sep 9, 2026Oct 7, 2026

Contract brief

If the Atlanta Pro Football team wins at least 5 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

5+ wins

Rank

#3 of 13

Leader

3+ wins 98¢

Range

2¢-98¢

Family volume

$908

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27ATL-5

Oct 10, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 23h ago

Implied probability

93¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 10, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 23h ago

Bid

93¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

1¢

Reported volume

$20K

Family rank

#3 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the Atlanta pro football team win at least

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$908

Orderbook snapshot

93 / 94¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
93¢996
92¢200K
90¢50
87¢25
86¢141
AskSize
94¢10K
95¢203K
99¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Atlanta Pro Football team wins at least 5 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27ATL-5

SF Signal
SF Index
2435.95
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

27.6%

IY (No)

4871.9%

Adj IY

2436%

CRI

13

Overround

3.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

27.6%
4871.9%
Adj IY
2436%
13
Overround
3.2%

SimpleFunctions context

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.