Maintain current rate · Will the Bank of Japan
Maintain current rate is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will the Bank of Japan.
Price history
94¢ current
+92¢Contract brief
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Maintain current rate at July 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Maintain current rate
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Maintain current rate 89¢
Range
1¢-89¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUL30-HOLD
Jun 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$179
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the Bank of Japan
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 93¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Maintain current rate at July 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUL30-HOLD
Event family
Will the Bank of Japan.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Maintain current rate 89¢
Current share
17%
Maintain current rate
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUL30-HOLD
Hike 25bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUL30-H25
Hike more than 25bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUL30-H25P
Cut more than 25bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUL30-C25P
Cut 25bps
kalshi · KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUL30-C25
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.