Citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules above 14000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year
Above 14,000 is priced at 11¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above.
Price history
11¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above 14,000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 14,000
Rank
#6 of 7
Leader
Above 4,000 76¢
Range
2¢-76¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A14000
Aug 22, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above
Closes
Sep 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above 14,000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2027
Identifier
KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A14000
Event family
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 4,000 76¢
Current share
—
Above 4,000
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A4000
Above 6,000
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A6000
Above 8,000
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A8000
Above 10,000
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A10000
Above 12,000
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A12000
Above 14,000
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A14000
Above 16,000
kalshi · KXNYCSTAT-2K27-A16000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.