SimpleFunctions

D-House, R-Senate, D-President · POWER-28

D-House, R-Senate, D-President is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside POWER-28.

Price history

10¢ current

2¢
5¢10¢15¢
Jun 9, 2026Jun 16, 2026

Contract brief

If the Democratic party wins the House, the Republican party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

D-House, R-Senate, D-President

Rank

#3 of 8

Leader

Democratic Sweep 44¢

Range

1¢-44¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

POWER-28-DH-RS-DP

Jun 24, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$23K

Family rank

#3 of 8

8 outcomes · POWER-28

Closes

Nov 7, 2029

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 10¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
8¢8
8¢11
7¢6
7¢550
6¢1.0K
AskSize
10¢753
12¢955
14¢1.0K
15¢950
16¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Democratic party wins the House, the Republican party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 7, 2029

Identifier

POWER-28-DH-RS-DP

SF Signal
SF Index
170.31
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

340.6%

IY (No)

2.6%

Adj IY

170%

CRI

12

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

political

Full indicator table

340.6%
2.6%
Adj IY
170%
12
Overround
-0.2%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.