Will the Department of Justice (DOJ) release Data Set 13 (pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act) before Sep 1, 2026?

This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 2153% implied yield on the Yes side versus just 33% on the No side, suggesting the 16¢ price may undervalue the probability of DOJ release given the legislative mandate. The sharp 7-day decline from 21¢ to 11¢ combined with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 6¢ spread indicates illiquidity and potential capitulation selling, while the modest $5.5k open interest and elevated 8 cliff risk index suggest this contract lacks conviction backing. With 137 days to expiry and no recent trading activity, the market appears to be pricing in significant execution risk or political resistance to the transparency mandate rather than fundamental legal obstacles.

Resolution rules

If the Department of Justice (DOJ) has released Data Set 13 (pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act) to the public before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade